last24hr — Where prediction-market money disagrees with the AI & crypto headlines

BTC $78,348 +4.1% Oil $85.90 -11% S&P 500 7,100+ record MSTR +15% COIN +15% Nasdaq longest streak since '92 ETF Inflows $332.4M/wk · BTC $78,348 +4.1% Oil $85.90 -11% S&P 500 7,100+ record MSTR +15% COIN +15% Nasdaq longest streak since '92 ETF Inflows $332.4M/wk

Not another news feed. The news says one thing. Polymarket money says another. We scan 40+ sources — news, Reddit, X, prediction markets — every 24 hours, rank them by heat, and flag where the smart money is betting against the headlines. Plus the Quiet Room picks the crowd is still missing.

Today's Signal · April 21 · first item of each section, no blur

Polymarket Pulse

★ When bettors disagree with the news

Bettors are still pricing $80K — ceasefire or not

$80K: 31% $65K: 13% $32.3M bet

Iran seized a ship, the ceasefire cracked, and Bitcoin still held above $75K all week. Polymarket's unbothered — a $65K print this month is trading at less than half the odds of $80K.

+13 more markets inside Open Pulse →

Today's Top Story

#1 Today · Heat 93 · +6

Saylor's Strategy just passed BlackRock

🔥 93 7 sources Breaking

Strategy added 34,164 coins last week — about $2.5 billion — landing on 815,061. That's 12,000 ahead of BlackRock's IBIT, and the first time a single company's balance sheet has outweighed the biggest Bitcoin ETF. The stock barely moved, which is its own signal.

The Quiet Room

This week's quiet pick

Tether crossed 97,000 bitcoins — and one outlet noticed

Under the radar 1 news source $7.3B held

Tether keeps quietly buying Bitcoin with the interest it earns on its stablecoin reserves. It's on pace to break into the top-10 corporate holders by June. Total coverage so far: one writeup.

+4 more picks this week Open Quiet Room →

Go beyond the leaderboard

Polymarket Pulse — daily tracker of where prediction-market money is betting against the headlines. see it now →
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Disclaimer — last24hr is an information and market-intelligence service. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, tax, or trading advice, nor a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Content is compiled from public sources; figures and prices move quickly. Crypto assets and leveraged equities carry significant risk, including total loss of capital. Do your own research and consult a qualified professional before making any financial decision.